By Fergal O’Brien (Bloomberg) —
One of many world’s greatest transport corporations simply issued a downbeat evaluation of the worldwide economic system, saying container demand will fall as a lot as 4% this 12 months. For these hoping this can quickly cool inflation, it had extra unhealthy information.
Alongside its demand downgrade, A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S mentioned the worth pressures which have come to dominate the post-pandemic economic system — whereas easing a bit — are going to stay round for some time as elevated power costs and labor shortages prop up prices throughout provide chains.
The outlook from Maersk, which strikes tens of millions of containers all over the world yearly, is a contemporary warning for central banks that their inflation battles could also be removed from over.
It comes hours earlier than the Federal Reserve delivered a fourth jumbo interest-rate enhance and reiterate that it stays steadfast in its job. The European Central Financial institution hiked final week at a second straight assembly, and the Financial institution of England is because of raise its benchmark on Thursday.
“Freight charges are coming down — that can detract from inflation — however we nonetheless have very excessive power prices and we even have a really, very robust labor market in most nations,” Maersk Chief Govt Soren Skou mentioned on Bloomberg Tv. “So I’d be stunned if inflation comes down quickly from right here.”
In its earnings assertion, Maersk mentioned there are indicators that bottlenecks are easing, however the squeeze from inflation that’s affecting earnings will stay all through this quarter.
That was echoed in a month-to-month manufacturing survey from S&P International printed Wednesday, which mentioned that inflation “stays stubbornly elevated regardless of continued proof that supply-chain pressures are receding.”
“Companies skilled stress on the price base resulting from inflation, which is anticipated to proceed for an extended interval,” Maersk mentioned.
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